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Verification of short- and medium-range precipitation forecasts from the ensemble modeling system of the hydrometcenter of Russia

✍ Scribed by A. Yu. Bundel’; E. D. Astakhova; I. A. Rozinkina; D. Yu. Alferov; A. E. Semenov

Book ID
111508518
Publisher
Allerton Press, Inc.
Year
2011
Tongue
English
Weight
992 KB
Volume
36
Category
Article
ISSN
1068-3739

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## Abstract We present a new method for the assessment and calibration of medium‐range ensemble temperature forecasts. The method is based on maximizing the likelihood of a simple parametric model for the temperature distribution, and leads to some new insights into the predictability of uncertaint