✦ LIBER ✦
A new parametric model for the assessment and calibration of medium-range ensemble temperature forecasts
✍ Scribed by Stephen Jewson; Anders Brix; Christine Ziehmann
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 2004
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 138 KB
- Volume
- 5
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1530-261X
- DOI
- 10.1002/asl.69
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✦ Synopsis
Abstract
We present a new method for the assessment and calibration of medium‐range ensemble temperature forecasts. The method is based on maximizing the likelihood of a simple parametric model for the temperature distribution, and leads to some new insights into the predictability of uncertainty. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society