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Medium-range forecast of air temperature and of some dangerous phenomena using the technique of the hydrometcenter of Russia

✍ Scribed by R. M. Vil’fand; P. P. Vasil’ev; E. L. Vasil’eva; G. K. Veselova; I. A. Gorlach

Book ID
111508410
Publisher
Allerton Press, Inc.
Year
2010
Tongue
English
Weight
491 KB
Volume
35
Category
Article
ISSN
1068-3739

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## Abstract We present a new method for the assessment and calibration of medium‐range ensemble temperature forecasts. The method is based on maximizing the likelihood of a simple parametric model for the temperature distribution, and leads to some new insights into the predictability of uncertaint