๐”– Bobbio Scriptorium
โœฆ   LIBER   โœฆ

Judgemental forecasting in times of change

โœ Scribed by Marcus O'Connor; William Remus; Ken Griggs

Book ID
119138752
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1993
Tongue
English
Weight
969 KB
Volume
9
Category
Article
ISSN
0169-2070

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

๐Ÿ“œ SIMILAR VOLUMES

Judgement in forecasting
Judgement in forecasting
โœ Mathew Parackal; Paul Goodwin; Marcus O'Connor ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 2007 ๐Ÿ› Elsevier Science ๐ŸŒ English โš– 93 KB
Choosing the Number of Conditioning Even
Choosing the Number of Conditioning Events in Judgemental Forecasting
โœ SIGRรšN ANDRADร“TTIR; VICKI M. BIER ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 1997 ๐Ÿ› John Wiley and Sons ๐ŸŒ English โš– 346 KB ๐Ÿ‘ 2 views

One method for judgemental forecasting involves the use of decomposition; i.e. estimating the conditional means of an unknown quantity of interest for a ยฎnite number of conditioning events, and weighting these estimated conditional means by the estimated marginal probabilities of the corresponding c

Relative accuracy of judgemental and ext
Relative accuracy of judgemental and extrapolative methods in forecasting annual earnings
โœ J. Scott Armstrong ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 1983 ๐Ÿ› John Wiley and Sons ๐ŸŒ English โš– 757 KB

## Abstract This paper identifies and analyses previously published studies on annual earnings forecasts. Comparisons of forecasts produced by management, analysts, and extrapolative techniques indicated that: (1) management forecasts were superior to professional analyst forecasts (the mean absolu