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The asymmetry of judgemental confidence intervals in time series forecasting

✍ Scribed by Marcus O’Connor; William Remus; Kenneth Griggs

Book ID
114174680
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2001
Tongue
English
Weight
92 KB
Volume
17
Category
Article
ISSN
0169-2070

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An examination of the accuracy of judgemental confidence intervals in time series forecasting
✍ Marcus O'Connor; Michael Lawrence 📂 Article 📅 1989 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 873 KB

This paper examines the accuracy (calibration) of judgemental and selected statistical confidence intervals in time series forecasting. Using the forecasts and forecast errors produced by the deseasonalized single exponential smoothing method, three statistical intervals were produced utilizing thre