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Utility analysis for the probationary selection decision to obtain a fixed quota of successful selectees

✍ Scribed by WILFRIED DE CORTE


Book ID
101288073
Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1997
Tongue
English
Weight
208 KB
Volume
18
Category
Article
ISSN
0894-3796

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✦ Synopsis


This article presents the extension of the one-cohort probationary selection (OCPS) framework (De Corte, 1994) to a multiple cohort model and shows how the extension can be applied to estimate the utility of probationary selection with replacement (PSWR) when a ®xed quota of successfully performing selectees is required. Next, formulas to compute the net present value of the OCPS and the PSWR approach to the selection of a ®xed quota of successful employees are derived. The equations indicate that the latter approach will usually lead to a higher utility, but not necessarily to a higher net present value of the predictor selected workforce. This ®nding, which is corroborated by the results of an example application, is of immediate practical relevance because it justi®es the probationary selection with replacement practice that is adopted in many West European countries. Finally, the example results suggest also that the traditional Brogden±Cronbach±Gleser framework generally overestimates the incremental utility of using a predictor when the objective is to select a ®xed quota of successful selectees. *


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