Ai~truet--In prediction error (PE) identification of the parameter estimates is given by the global minimum of a scalar-valued function of the innovation sample covariance matrix. It may happen that the loss function has multiple local minimum points so that a numerical search routine can fail to fi
Uniqueness of estimated k-step prediction models of ARMA processes
✍ Scribed by Petre Stoica; Torsten Söderström
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 1984
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 465 KB
- Volume
- 4
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0167-6911
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
The direcr estimation of the k-step prediction models of ARMA processes is discussed. The emphasis is on the uniqueness properties of the parameter estimates of such models, obtained by using either a prediction error method (PEM) or a pseudo-linear regression (PLR) algorithm.
The main result is that both PEM and PLR, when applied to such models, have a certain uniqueness property.
More specifically, it is shown that all the limit models corresponding to either method behave precisely as the true optimal predictor.
Furthermore. if a minimal parameterization is used, then the true predictor is the unique limit model both for PEM and for PLR.
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