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Uncertainty Analysis and Expert Judgment in Seismic Hazard Analysis

✍ Scribed by Jens-Uwe Klügel


Publisher
Springer
Year
2010
Tongue
English
Weight
639 KB
Volume
168
Category
Article
ISSN
0033-4533

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Error inflation in Probabilistic Seismic
✍ Jens-Uwe Klügel 📂 Article 📅 2007 🏛 Elsevier Science 🌐 English ⚖ 175 KB

Based on a consistent interpretation of earthquake occurrence as a stochastic process I demonstrate that the mathematical model of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) as it is in use today is inaccurate and leads to systematic errors in the calculation process. These mathematical errors may