Trade Performance and Regional Integration of the CIS Countries

✍ Scribed by Freinkman L.M., Polyakov E., Revenco C.

• Year: 2004
• Tongue: English
• Leaves: 84
• Category: Library

✦ Synopsis

This report evaluates the success of the commonwealth of independent states (CIS) countries, such as Georgia, Moldova, Uzbekistan, Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine, at integrating themselves into global production value chains, identifies the main weaknesses in their existing trade patterns, and recommends steps for strengthening the administrative framework governing intra-CIS trade. No index is provided.

✦ Table of Contents

TABLE OF CONTENTS......Page 5
Abstract......Page 7
Preface......Page 9
Acronyms and Abbreviations......Page 11
Poor Quality of Trade Data or Trade Deflection?......Page 13
Table 1.2: Intra-CIS Exports Minus Imports......Page 17
Withering of Manufactured Trade......Page 21
Changing Geography of Trade......Page 23
Figure 1.2: Changes in the Merchandise Composition of Exports, 1996–2000......Page 26
Export Specialization of the CIS Countries......Page 30
Predominance of Inter-Industry Trade......Page 35
Trade Openness: How Open are the CIS Countries?......Page 39
The Gravity Model: Recent Adjustments in Direction of Trade......Page 43
CIS-7: Lagging Behind in Trade Diversification and Export Performance......Page 52
Conclusion......Page 54
Free Trade Agreements (FTAs)......Page 57
Standards......Page 61
Customs Cooperation......Page 62
The CIS Bloc and the South-South Integration......Page 63
Table 3.2: Average Import Tariffs......Page 64
4. Conclusions and Recommendations......Page 67
Annexes......Page 73
Table A1: Merchandise Composition of Exports......Page 74
Table A2: Merchandise Trade Deficit with Major Partners......Page 78
References......Page 79
Table 1.1: Quality of Trade Data, 2000......Page 15
Table 1.3: Trade Indices of the CIS Members (1993–100)......Page 18
Table 1.4: Trade Flows and Balances of the CIS Economies, 1988–2000......Page 20
Table 1.5: Export Composition by Sector......Page 22
Table 1.6: Geographical Composition of Exports and Imports......Page 24
Table 1.7: Merchandise Composition of CIS and Non-CIS Exports......Page 28
Table 1.8: Export Specialization Indices at the 1-digit SITC Level, 2000......Page 31
Table 1.9: Export Specialization Index at the 2-digit SITC Level......Page 32
Table 1.10: Shares in Employment and Exports, 2000......Page 34
Table 1.11: The Grubel-Lloyd Index......Page 36
Table 2.1: Trade Openness Models......Page 41
Table 2.2: CIS Actual vs Theoretical Openness......Page 42
Table 2.3: Potential and Realized Shares of Intra-CIS and EU Exports......Page 44
Table 2.4: Realization Ratios for the Gravity Model without the Bloc Effect......Page 47
Table 2.5: Realization Ratios for the Gravity Model with the Maximum Bloc Effect......Page 48
Table 2.6: FSU Trade with the EU......Page 50
Table 2.7: Average Trade Performance of Three Groups of the Former Soviet Republics CIS-7, Central CIS, and the Baltics......Page 53
Table 3.1: Bilateral Free Trade Agreements in the CIS......Page 58
Figure 1.1: Composition of the CIS Trade Flows, 2001......Page 16
Box 1.1: The UN COMTRADE Database......Page 14
Box 3.1: Russo-Ukrainian Trade Wars......Page 59