The primary aim of this paper is to select an appropriate power transformation when we use ARMA models for a given time series. We propose a Bayesian procedure for estimating the power transformation as well as other parameters in time series models. The posterior distributions of interest are obtai
Time-series analysis supported by power transformations
โ Scribed by Victor M. Guerrero
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1993
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 648 KB
- Volume
- 12
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0277-6693
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
Abstract
This paper presents some procedures aimed at helping an applied timeโseries analyst in the use of power transformations. Two methods are proposed for selecting a varianceโstabilizing transformation and another for biasโreduction of the forecast in the original scale. Since these methods are essentially modelโindependent, they can be employed with practically any type of timeโseries model. Some comparisons are made with other methods currently available and it is shown that those proposed here are either easier to apply or are more general, with a performance similar to or better than other competing procedures.
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