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The role and validity of judgment in forecasting

✍ Scribed by George Wright; Michael J. Lawrence; Fred Collopy

Book ID
113290742
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1996
Tongue
English
Weight
725 KB
Volume
12
Category
Article
ISSN
0169-2070

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## Abstract The majority of model‐based forecasting efforts today rely on relatively simple techniques of estimation and the subjective adjustment of the model's results to produce forecasts. Published forecasts reflect to a great extent the judgment of the forecaster rather than what the model by