T w o recent studies [Hill and Schneeweis (H&S) (forthcoming) and Dale (1981)l
The effects of structural breaks and long memory on currency hedging
β Scribed by Donald Lien; Li Yang
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2009
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 145 KB
- Volume
- 30
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
Abstract
Empirical evidence suggests that unconditional variance of exchange rate return series is subject to occasional structural breaks that may induce spurious phenomenon of high persistence and long memory of volatility processes. In this study, we investigate the effects of such breaks on estimated riskβminimizing hedge strategies (ratios) and their performance in currency markets. Using bivariate GARCH (BGARCH) and fractionally integrated GARCH models, we estimate the hedge ratios for six foreign currencies in the full sample with and without controlling for breaks and each subsample of different unconditional variance regimes identified by a modified version of the Inclan C, and Tiao GC (1994) algorithm. Our findings suggest that daily currency risk can be better hedged with currency futures when controlling for unconditional variance breaks in the BGARCH model. Β© 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 30:607β632, 2010
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