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The effect of weather and technology on wheat yields in Oregon

✍ Scribed by R.L. Pitter


Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1977
Weight
692 KB
Volume
18
Category
Article
ISSN
0002-1571

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✦ Synopsis


The influence of weather on wheat yields in Oregon is characterized by multiple curvilinear regression analysis. Technological advances are also characterized in the analysis. Synergistic heat-moisture stress is characterized by a modified precipitation-temperature parameter, and a representation of soil moisture at planting time is introduced to characterize the "timely rains" which Eastern Oregon wheat growers desire. Standard deviation of error between estimated and actual yields was 2.35 bu/a. The inftuence of weather was investigated by holding technology at a constant level, and was found to be +-5 bu/a in extreme years. No systematic effect of global warming and cooling trends was identified. Model validity was substantiated by comparison of results with an independent data set.


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