How Accurate are the U.S. Bureau of the
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Dennis A. Ahlburg
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Article
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1982
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John Wiley and Sons
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English
β 555 KB
## Abstract The accuracy of total live birth forecasts issued by the U.S. Bureau of the Census was analysed. Forecast accuracy has not improved significantly since 1950. Further, the forecasts are not more accurate than several naive alternatives. Moving from a period methodology to a cohort method