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Stochastic effects in a seasonally forced epidemic model

✍ Scribed by Rozhnova, G.; Nunes, A.


Book ID
125986427
Publisher
The American Physical Society
Year
2010
Tongue
English
Weight
555 KB
Volume
82
Category
Article
ISSN
1063-651X

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In this paper we conaider a modification of Bailey'e atochaatic model for the spread of an epidemic when there are maaonal variations in infection rate. The resulting nonlinear model is analyzed by employing the diffusion approximation technique. We have shown that for a large population the p r o w