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Reliability of Subjective Probability Forecasts of Precipitation and Temperature

✍ Scribed by Murphy, Allan H. ;Winkler, Robert L.


Book ID
121368339
Publisher
JSTOR
Year
1977
Weight
716 KB
Volume
26
Category
Article

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## Abstract A weighted ensemble (WE) method is revisited and employed to issue an improved seasonal probability of precipitation (POP) forecast. Nine boreal summer time seasonal precipitation hindcasts obtained from the APEC (Asia‐Pacific Economic Cooperation) Climate Center (APCC) multi‐model ense