Error inflation in Probabilistic Seismic
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Jens-Uwe KlΓΌgel
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Article
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2007
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Elsevier Science
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English
β 175 KB
Based on a consistent interpretation of earthquake occurrence as a stochastic process I demonstrate that the mathematical model of Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) as it is in use today is inaccurate and leads to systematic errors in the calculation process. These mathematical errors may