Letters to the Editor Comment on 'A New Method of Scenario ## Analysis for Strategic Planning' We were pleased to read recently the Brauers and Weber article in the January-March 1988 issue of Journal of Forecasting. This article is an indication of the maturation of scenario methodologies and t
New methods for strategic analysis: Automating the wargame
β Scribed by Morlie H. Graubard; Carl H. Builder
- Book ID
- 104640215
- Publisher
- Springer US
- Year
- 1982
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 782 KB
- Volume
- 15
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0032-2687
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
A new method for automating political-military games as a means of analyzing strategic forces was recently developed and demonstrated by The Rand Corporation. Interest in this technique sprang from dissatisfaction with the dominant methods of analyzing strategic forces: manual political-military games and force exchange models. While each brings important capabilities to the analysis of strategic forces, neither method can indel~endently handle all of the variables required to satisfy the current demands placed on strategic analysis. Rand drew upon the discipline used to develop models and the flexibility inherent in gaming to develop its automated wargame. The method promises significant improvement over the traditional methods of strategic analysis in breadth of input and flexibility of application.
π SIMILAR VOLUMES
example provided, with only seven variables, required a linear program with 549 constraints and 360 total variables. This may be acceptable if one is interested in producing one set of scenario forecasts about the future, but might become burdensome if one wished to perform numerous sensitivity anal