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Monotonicity in Condorcet’s Jury Theorem with dependent voters

✍ Scribed by Daniel Berend; Luba Sapir


Publisher
Springer
Year
2006
Tongue
English
Weight
239 KB
Volume
28
Category
Article
ISSN
0176-1714

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With the aid of a simple discrete probability model, the Condorcet Jury Theorem is extended to situations where there is dependency between judgement. It is shown that negative intra-voter correlation improves on jury competence in the sense that the probability of a correct decision increases. Posi

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✍ Krishna K. Ladha 📂 Article 📅 1993 🏛 Springer 🌐 English ⚖ 886 KB

This paper generalizes Condorcet's jury theorem to the case of symmetrically dependent votes with the help of de Finetti's theorem. Thus, the paper relaxes Condorcet's assumption of independent voting while preserving his main result: In jury-type situations a majority of voters is more likely than