✦ LIBER ✦

Condorcet's jury theorem, dependency among jurors

✍ Scribed by Sven Berg

Publisher: Springer
Year: 1993
Tongue: English
Weight: 521 KB
Volume: 10
Category: Article
ISSN: 0176-1714
DOI: 10.1007/bf00187435

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis

With the aid of a simple discrete probability model, the Condorcet Jury Theorem is extended to situations where there is dependency between judgement. It is shown that negative intra-voter correlation improves on jury competence in the sense that the probability of a correct decision increases. Positive correlation, on the other hand, tends to decrease jury competence. The results given here are obtained with the aid of simple recursion relations.

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