𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

Modelling trends in central England temperatures

✍ Scribed by David I. Harvey; Terence C. Mills

Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2003
Tongue
English
Weight
246 KB
Volume
22
Category
Article
ISSN
0277-6693

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis

Abstract

Trends are extracted from the central England temperature (CET) data available from 1723, using both annual and seasonal averages. Attention is focused on fitting non‐parametric trends and it is found that, while there is no compelling evidence of a trend increase in the CET, there have been three periods of cooling, stability, and warming, roughly associated with the beginning and the end of the Industrial Revolution. There does appear to have been an upward shift in trend spring temperatures, but forecasting of current trends is hazardous because of the statistical uncertainty surrounding them. Copyright Β© 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

πŸ“œ SIMILAR VOLUMES

Uncertainties in early Central England t
Uncertainties in early Central England temperatures
✍ David E. Parker πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2009 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 161 KB

## Abstract Uncertainties in historical climate records constrain our understanding of natural variability of climate, but estimation of these uncertainties enables us to place recent climate events and extremes into a realistic historical perspective. Uncertainties in Central England temperature (

Modelling current trends in Northern Hem
Modelling current trends in Northern Hemisphere temperatures
✍ Terence C. Mills πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2006 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 216 KB

## Abstract Fitting a trend is of interest in many disciplines, but it is of particular importance in climatology, where estimating the current and recent trend in temperature is thought to provide a major indication of the presence of global warming. A range of __ad hoc__ methods of trend fitting

Scaling of Central England Temperature F
Scaling of Central England Temperature Fluctuations?
✍ J. Luterbacher; E. Xoplaki; D. Dietrich; P. D. Jones; T. D. Davies; D. Portis; J πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2001 πŸ› Elsevier Science 🌐 English βš– 362 KB

## Abstract Monthly (1659–1995) and seasonal (1500–1658) North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) indices were estimated using instrumental and documentary proxy predictors from Eurasia. Uncertainty estimates were calculated for the reconstructions, and the variability of the 500‐year winter NAO has been a

Central England temperatures: long‐term
Central England temperatures: long‐term variability and teleconnections
✍ Benner, Timothy C. πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 1999 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 230 KB

Past long-term climate variability is important for the prediction of both future climate and human impacts on climate. Teleconnections help to reveal the interactions between the components of the climate system. This research examines the central England temperature record from 1659 to 1997, both

The annual period of freezing temperatur
The annual period of freezing temperatures in central England: 1850–1989
✍ Chris Watkins πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2007 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 479 KB

## Abstract The daily central England temperature (CET) series is examined for evidence of long‐term changes in the duration of the annual freeze season by analysing the timing of the first and last days of winter that record a CET value of 0Β°C or lower. A statistically significant inverse relation