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The annual period of freezing temperatures in central England: 1850–1989

✍ Scribed by Chris Watkins

Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Year: 2007
Tongue: English
Weight: 479 KB
Volume: 11
Category: Article
ISSN: 0899-8418
DOI: 10.1002/joc.3370110807

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✦ Synopsis

Abstract

The daily central England temperature (CET) series is examined for evidence of long‐term changes in the duration of the annual freeze season by analysing the timing of the first and last days of winter that record a CET value of 0°C or lower. A statistically significant inverse relationship is found to exist between freeze season duration and time. A linear regression model demonstrates that the rate of decline is about 2 days per decade. This could be explained by a rise in air temperature. An overview of statistical theory is given and the model assumptions are tested.

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## Abstract Long‐term changes of temperature and of characteristic circulation patterns over the British Isles have been studied using catalogues of daily Central England temperature and daily Lamb circulation types for 1861 to date. Most inter‐decadal temperature variability appears to have been l