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Forecasting technology diffusion: a new generalisation of the logistic model

✍ Scribed by Lotfi, Aslan; Lotfi, Ali; Halal, William E.


Book ID
125936107
Publisher
Taylor and Francis Group
Year
2014
Tongue
English
Weight
344 KB
Volume
26
Category
Article
ISSN
0953-7325

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## Abstract A Bayesian procedure for forecasting S‐shaped growth is introduced and compared to classical methods of estimation and prediction using three variants of the logistic functional form and annual times series of the diffusion of music compact discs in twelve countries. The Bayesian proced