Extreme Hydrological Events: New Concepts for Security

✍ Scribed by O.F. Vasiliev, P.H.A.J.M.van Gelder, E.J. Plate, M.V. Bolgov

• Publisher: Springer
• Year: 2007
• Tongue: English
• Leaves: 496
• Series: NATO Science Series: IV: Earth and Environmental Sciences
• Edition: 1
• Category: Library

✦ Synopsis

This book addresses the development of advanced methods for the prediction, the estimation of occurrence probabilities and the risk related to extreme hydrological events. It also discusses the reduction of the vulnerability of social, economic, and engineering systems to extreme hydrologic events and the decrease of their effects on such systems.

✦ Table of Contents

TABLE OF CONTENTS......Page 7
Preface......Page 11
INTRODUCTION......Page 14
Thoughts on the Economics of Floodplain Development in the U.S.......Page 15
Flood Risk Management for Setting Priorities in Decision Making......Page 32
PART 1: BASIN CASE STUDIES ON EXTREME HYDROLOGICAL EVENTS......Page 56
Rhine Floods and Low Flows......Page 57
August 2002 Catastrophic Flood in the Czech Republic......Page 69
Lessons Learned from the Elbe River Floods in August 2002 - With a Special Focus on Flood Warning......Page 79
Floods in Austria......Page 91
The Conditions of the Formation and Development of Extreme Floods in Zakarpatye (The Basin of Tisa River)......Page 101
Summer 1997 Flood in Poland in Perspective......Page 106
Floods in Siberian River Basins......Page 120
Rain Floods in the Far East and East Siberia......Page 134
PART 2: PROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION IN FLOOD STUDIES......Page 145
Theory of Extreme Events and Probability Distributions of Flooding Characteristics......Page 146
Regional Flood Frequency Analysis......Page 158
Probabilistic Forecasts Using Bayesian Networks Calibrated with Deterministic Rainfall-Runoff Models......Page 179
Predetermination of Floods......Page 190
Statistical Estimation Methods for Extreme Hydrological Events......Page 204
PART 3: ICE-INDUCED FLOODS......Page 258
Studies of Ice Jam Flooding in the United States......Page 259
Laboratory Modelling of Ice Jam Floods on the Lena River......Page 273
Hydrological Conditions for Actions on Prevention of Ice Flooding on the Lena River......Page 282
Information Needs when Estimating Ice Jam Floods and Ice Runs......Page 288
PART 4: RIVER LOW FLOWS AND CLIMATIC CONDITIONS AND ENVIRONMENTAL ISSUES......Page 302
Drought-Induced Water Scarcity in Water Resources Systems......Page 303
River Low Flows in Austria......Page 314
Assessment of the Effect of Autumn-Winter River Low Flow on the Operation of a Reservoir with Seasonal Regulation......Page 324
PART 5: RISK ASSESSMENT AND MANAGEMENT FOR FLOODS, LOW WATER EVENTS, DAMAGE VULNERABILITY ISSUES......Page 336
The Dutch Strategy for Safety and River Flood Prevention......Page 337
Flood Control System in Russia......Page 353
Evacuation and Life-Loss Estimation Model for Natural and Dam Break Floods......Page 363
Flood Protection and Management in the Netherlands......Page 384
Hydraulic Boundary Conditions in the Netherlands, at Present and in Future......Page 407
Revised Strategies for Flood Risk Management: Lessons from the 2002 Flood in Europe......Page 415
The NATO Workshop "Extreme Hydrological Events", Novosibirsk, Russia, 10-15 July 2005......Page 435
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS......Page 452
Working Groups Conclusions and Recommendations......Page 453
H......Page 475
S......Page 476
Z......Page 477
List of Participants......Page 478
C......Page 486
D......Page 487
F......Page 488
I......Page 490
L......Page 491
M......Page 492
P......Page 493
S......Page 494
W......Page 495
Z......Page 496