This paper presents a simple method for estimation of population vaccination effectiveness, which is the fraction of disease cases prevented by a vaccination programme. The method is based on the susceptible-infectious-recovered (SIR) model for the spread of an epidemic in a heterogeneous population
Estimation of the direct and indirect effects of vaccination
โ Scribed by Michael Haber
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1999
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 92 KB
- Volume
- 18
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0277-6715
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โฆ Synopsis
Indirect e!ects play a major role in the protection a!orded by a vaccination programme. In this work we de"ne new measures of direct, indirect and total (direct#indirect) e!ects of a vaccination programme in terms of the protection they provide to unvaccinated and vaccinated individuals, and to the entire population. We show how these measures can be estimated using data from a vaccine trial or an observational study. The bias and standard errors of these estimates can be evaluated via stochastic simulations. Examples from a mumps outbreak and a (hypothetical) HIV vaccine trial are used to illustrate the estimation of these new measures of vaccination e!ectiveness.
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