Dynamic Population Models

✍ Scribed by Robert Schoen (auth.)

• Publisher: Springer Netherlands
• Year: 2006
• Tongue: English
• Leaves: 259
• Series: The Springer Series On Demographic Methods And Population Analysis 17
• Edition: 1
• Category: Library

✦ Synopsis

Dynamic Population Models is the first book to comprehensively discuss and synthesize the emerging field of dynamic modeling, i.e. the analysis and application of population models that have changing vital rates. Incorporating the latest research, it includes thorough discussions of population growth and momentum under gradual fertility declines, the impact of changes in the timing of events on fertility measures, and the complex relationship between period and cohort measures. Recently developed models for the analysis of changing mortality are examined, and generalizations of Lotka’s fixed rate stable population model are developed and applied.

The book is well organized and clearly written so that it is accessible to those with only a minimal knowledge of calculus. It begins with a review of fixed rate population models, from the basic life table to multistate stable populations. The process of convergence to stability is described, and the regularities underlying change in the size and composition of any population are explored. Techniques for estimating rates from multistate population distributions are presented, and new multi-age, multistate dynamic models are developed. Building on the logical closure of demographic models and the close relationship between population stocks and flows, the book sets forth the latest approaches for capturing population change in a world experiencing profound demographic transformations.

✦ Table of Contents

Population Models With Constant Rates....Pages 1-26
Convergence to Stability....Pages 27-42
Population Momentum....Pages 43-58
Demographic Change at the Margin....Pages 59-78
Longevity and Dynamic Mortality....Pages 79-100
Timing Effects on Fertility, Marriage, and Divorce....Pages 101-122
Dynamic Birth-Death (Multi-Age) Models....Pages 123-160
Dynamic Multistate Models....Pages 161-202
Dynamic Models With Multiple Ages and~States....Pages 203-230

✦ Subjects

Demography; Genetics and Population Dynamics; Methodology of the Social Sciences; Statistics for Social Science, Behavorial Science, Education, Public Policy, and Law