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Condorcet's jury theorem revisited

โœ Scribed by Sven Berg


Book ID
113292530
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1993
Tongue
English
Weight
650 KB
Volume
9
Category
Article
ISSN
0176-2680

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Condorcet's jury theorem, dependency amo
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With the aid of a simple discrete probability model, the Condorcet Jury Theorem is extended to situations where there is dependency between judgement. It is shown that negative intra-voter correlation improves on jury competence in the sense that the probability of a correct decision increases. Posi

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โœ Krishna K. Ladha ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 1993 ๐Ÿ› Springer ๐ŸŒ English โš– 886 KB

This paper generalizes Condorcet's jury theorem to the case of symmetrically dependent votes with the help of de Finetti's theorem. Thus, the paper relaxes Condorcet's assumption of independent voting while preserving his main result: In jury-type situations a majority of voters is more likely than