Conditional distribution analyses of pro
โ
J. Frank Yates; Shawn P. Curley
๐
Article
๐
1985
๐
John Wiley and Sons
๐
English
โ 805 KB
Probabilistic forecasts have good 'external correspondence' if events that are assigned probabilities close to I tend to occur frequently, whereas those assigned probabilities near 0 tend to occur rarely. This paper describes simple procedures for analysing external correspondence into meaningful co