𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

Comparison of five methods for estimating subjective probability distributions

✍ Scribed by Robert L. Ludke; Fred F. Stauss; David H. Gustafson


Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1977
Weight
941 KB
Volume
19
Category
Article
ISSN
0030-5073

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.


πŸ“œ SIMILAR VOLUMES


A comparison of multivariate statistical
✍ S. Desai; G. J. Lim; M. Karson πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2010 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 307 KB πŸ‘ 1 views

## Abstract The catastrophic incidents involving hazardous materials (hazmats) have often been termed as low probability and high consequence (LPHC). The purpose of this article is to address some fundamental questions with regard to hazmats incidents: What is the expected consequence of a hazmats

An Improved Approach for Estimating the
✍ HON-SHIANG LAU; AMY HING-LING LAU; YUE ZHANG πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 1997 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 236 KB πŸ‘ 2 views

The literature oers many formulas for estimating the mean and standard deviation of a subjective probability distribution (a well-known example is the PERT formulas). This paper shows that some basic underlying assumptions behind most of these formulas are inappropriate; a more appropriate framework

A model of calibration for subjective pr
✍ Paula E. Curtis; William R. Ferrell; Ira Solomon πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 1985 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 803 KB

A simple model is proposed of the statistical structure underlying the calibration of auditors' subjective probability distributions for account balances, and potentially for other unknown quantities. The model relates calibration curve shape to two parameters which represent over-or underconfidence