## Abstract The general public understands that there is uncertainty inherent in deterministic forecasts as well as understanding some of the factors that increase uncertainty. This was determined in an online survey of 1340 residents of Washington and Oregon, USA. Understanding was probed using qu
Communicating uncertainty via probabilities: The case of weather forecasts
β Scribed by John Handmer; Beth Proudley
- Book ID
- 113603790
- Publisher
- Earthscan
- Year
- 2007
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 157 KB
- Volume
- 7
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1747-7891
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
π SIMILAR VOLUMES
## Abstract In times of ever increasing financial constraints on public weather services it is of growing importance to communicate the value of their forecasts and products. While many diagnostic tools exist to evaluate forecast systems, intuitive diagnostics for communicating the skill of probabi
## Abstract The hydrometeorological community has limited understanding of how people interpret forecast information and use it in decision making, hampering effective forecast communication. This article addresses these issues in the context of weather prediction, focusing especially on forecast u