## Introduction e of the most intriguing and long standing conjectures concerning the 0. pattern of prices on futures markets is that prices display "backwardation," at least on a seasonal basis. The term backwardation has a long history of use on the London stock exchange, and was adapted to futu
An examination of momentum strategies in commodity futures markets
โ Scribed by Qian Shen; Andrew C. Szakmary; Subhash C. Sharma
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2007
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 248 KB
- Volume
- 27
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
โฆ Synopsis
Abstract
Commodity futures and equity markets differ in several important respects. Nevertheless, it was found that momentum profits in commodities are highly significant for holding periods as long as 9 months, and returns to momentum strategies are roughly equal in magnitude to those that have been reported in stocks. The profits documented are too large to be subsumed by transactions costs. Although the momentum strategies appear to be quite risky, their profitability cannot be fully accounted for in the context of a market factor model. Further, it is shown that momentum profits eventually reverse if positions are maintained long enough after portfolio formation. ยฉ 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 27:227โ256, 2007
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