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A stochastic model for the AIDS epidemic involving several risk populations

✍ Scribed by W.Y. Tan

Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1990
Tongue
English
Weight
393 KB
Volume
14
Category
Article
ISSN
0895-7177

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✦ Synopsis

In this paper

I develop a stochastic model for the AIDS epidemic involving several risk populations. The probability generating function (PGF) of the latent persons, infective persons and AIDS cases isderived. By using this PGF, it is shown that the expected values, the variances and the covariances of the latent persons, infective persons and AIDS cases satisfy some ordinary differential equations. These equations have been solved numerically to assess effects of various factors on the AIDS epidemic.

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