𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

A Probability Model for Verifying Deterministic Forecasts of Extreme Events

✍ Scribed by Ferro, Christopher A. T.

Book ID
126829890
Publisher
American Meteorological Society
Year
2007
Tongue
English
Weight
998 KB
Volume
22
Category
Article
ISSN
0882-8156

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

πŸ“œ SIMILAR VOLUMES

The extreme dependency score: a non-vani
The extreme dependency score: a non-vanishing measure for forecasts of rare events
✍ D. B. Stephenson; B. Casati; C. A. T. Ferro; C. A. Wilson πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2008 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 967 KB

## Abstract Accurate prediction of rare high‐impact events represents a major challenge for weather and climate forecasting. Assessment of the skill at forecasting such events is problematic because of the rarity of such events. Skill scores traditionally used to verify deterministic forecasts of r

Empirical models for evaluating errors i
Empirical models for evaluating errors in fitting extremes of a probability distribution
✍ Jun Bai; Anthony J. Jakeman; Michael McAleer πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 1995 πŸ› Elsevier Science 🌐 English βš– 366 KB

The paper examines how empirical models can be constructed to describe the dependence of the error in fitting data to parametric models of probability distributions on the type of distribution, sample size, parent parameter values and percentiles of interest. Such models are important in evaluating