Extremal Dependence Indices: Improved Verification Measures for Deterministic Forecasts of Rare Binary Events

The extreme dependency score: a non-vani

The extreme dependency score: a non-vanishing measure for forecasts of rare events

✍ D. B. Stephenson; B. Casati; C. A. T. Ferro; C. A. Wilson 📂 Article 📅 2008 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 967 KB

## Abstract Accurate prediction of rare high‐impact events represents a major challenge for weather and climate forecasting. Assessment of the skill at forecasting such events is problematic because of the rarity of such events. Skill scores traditionally used to verify deterministic forecasts of r