𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

A new forecasting and simulation model for the polish economy — “SAPO”

✍ Scribed by Jerzy Pawilno-Pacewicz


Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1985
Weight
311 KB
Volume
12
Category
Article
ISSN
0066-4138

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.


📜 SIMILAR VOLUMES


A New-Keynesian DSGE model for forecasti
✍ Guangling ‘Dave’ Liu; Rangan Gupta; Eric Schaling 📂 Article 📅 2009 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 195 KB 👁 1 views

## Abstract This paper develops a New‐Keynesian Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (NKDSGE) model for forecasting the growth rate of output, inflation, and the nominal short‐term interest rate (91 days Treasury Bill rate) for the South African economy. The model is estimated via maximum likelih

BBVA-ARIES: a forecasting and simulation
✍ Fernando C. Ballabriga; Sonsoles Castillo 📂 Article 📅 2003 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 151 KB

## Abstract This paper describes the BBVA‐ARIES, a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) for the European Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). In addition to providing EMU‐wide growth and inflation forecasts, the model provides an assessment of the interactions between key EMU macroeconomic variables

A BVAR model for the connecticut economy
✍ Pami Dua; Subhash C. Ray 📂 Article 📅 1995 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 846 KB

A Bayesian vector autorepssive (BVAR) model is developed for the Connecticut economy to forecast the unemployment rate, nonagricultural employment, real personal income, and housing permits authorized. The model includes both national and state variables. The Bayesian prior is selected on the basis

‘Irrational exuberance’ and capital flow
✍ Marcus Miller; Olli Castrén; Lei Zhang 📂 Article 📅 2007 🏛 John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English ⚖ 207 KB

In a stylized and analytically tractable model of the global economy, we first calculate the Pareto improvement when a country experiencing a favourable supply side shock consumes more against expected future output and spreads the risk by selling shares. With capital inflows to finance the 'New Eco