Verbal and numerical estimates of probability in therapeutic contexts
β Scribed by Roy E.A. Mapes
- Book ID
- 119156176
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 1979
- Weight
- 564 KB
- Volume
- 13
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0271-7123
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
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We report results of an experiment designed to test a principle formulated by Budescu and Wallsten (1995), that, when communicating uncertainty information, mode choices are sensitive to sources and degrees of vagueness. In addition, we examined subjects' ecacy in using such uncertainty information
## Abstract The reported experiment took place in a professional forecasting organization accustomed to giving verbal probability assessments (βlikelyβ, βprobableβ, etc.). It attempts to highlight the communication problems caused by verbal probability expressions and to offer possible solutions th