US forecast too low?
โ Scribed by Ezzell, Carol
- Book ID
- 109759266
- Publisher
- Nature Publishing Group
- Year
- 1989
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 145 KB
- Volume
- 339
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0028-0836
- DOI
- 10.1038/339651b0
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
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## Abstract The growth rates of real output and real investment are two macroeconomic time series which are particularly difficult to forecast. This paper considers the application of diffusion index forecasting models to this problem. We begin by characterizing the performance of standard forecast