Uncertainty : a guide to dealing with uncertainty in quantitative risk and policy analysis

✍ Scribed by M Granger Morgan; Max Henrion; Mitchell Small

• Publisher: Cambridge University Press
• Year: 1990
• Tongue: English
• Leaves: 344
• Category: Library

✦ Table of Contents

Frontmatter......Page 1
Contents......Page 5
Preface......Page 11
1 - Introduction......Page 13
2 - Recent Milestones......Page 18
3 - An Overview of Quantitative Policy Analysis......Page 28
4 - The Nature and Sources of Uncertainty......Page 59
5 - Probability Distributions and Statistical Estimation......Page 85
6 - Human Judgment about and with Uncertainty......Page 114
7 - Performing Probability Assessment......Page 153
8 - The Propagation and Analysis of Uncertainty......Page 184
9 - The Graphic Communication of Uncertainty......Page 232
10 - Analytical A Software Tool for Uncertainty Analysis and Model Communication......Page 269
11 - Large and Complex Models......Page 301
12 - The Value of Knowing How Little You Know......Page 319
Index......Page 337