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Uncertainties in system analysis: Probabilistic versus nonprobabilistic theories

โœ Scribed by J.S. Wu; G.E. Apostolakis; D. Okrent

Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1990
Tongue
English
Weight
1004 KB
Volume
30
Category
Article
ISSN
0951-8320

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โœฆ Synopsis

The theory of evidence and the theory of possibility have been suggested as possible alternatives to probability theory in safety analyses of engineering systems. This paper discusses three issues: (1) how formal probability theory has been relaxed to develop these nonprobabilistic models; (2) how degrees of belie fare expressed in probabilistie and nonprobabilistie theories; and (3) the degree to which these nonprobabilistic models can be applied to system analysis in terms of their capability to combine knowledge.

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