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Toward a New Model for Probabilistic Household Forecasts

✍ Scribed by Jiang Leiwen; Brian C. O'Neill

Book ID
111415452
Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2007
Tongue
English
Weight
163 KB
Volume
72
Category
Article
ISSN
0306-7734

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## Abstract A measure of the information added by a probabilistic forecast to that contained in the climatological distribution is presented in this paper. This measure, called information gain, is mathematically closely related to the traditional ignorance score, but is more intuitive. Its advanta