This paper examines the conditional heteroscedasticity of the yen±dollar exchange rate. A model is constructed by extending the asymmetric power autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity model to a process that is fractionally integrated. It is found that, unlike the equity markets, the apprecia
Tokyo insiders and the informational efficiency of the yen/dollar exchange rate
✍ Scribed by Vicentiu Covrig; Michael Melvin
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2005
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 118 KB
- Volume
- 10
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 1076-9307
- DOI
- 10.1002/ijfe.263
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
Abstract
When there is a high concentration of informed yen/dollar traders active in Tokyo, theory suggests that there should be a faster adjustment of the yen/dollar exchange rate to the full‐information level. We exploit the data during a period believed to contain a high concentration of informed Japanese traders in order to test this hypothesis. Comparing the period of informed trader clustering to a similar period without the informed, we find that yen/dollar exchange rate quotes adjust to full‐information levels three times faster when the informed are active than when they are not. These results are consistent with a view of the foreign exchange market where private information is at times quite important. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
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