✦ LIBER ✦

Time trends in lung-cancer mortality rates among men in Lithuania 1965–1994

✍ Scribed by Rūta Petrauskaitė; Romualdas Gurevičius

Publisher: John Wiley and Sons
Year: 1996
Tongue: French
Weight: 276 KB
Volume: 66
Category: Article
ISSN: 0020-7136
DOI: 10.1002/(sici)1097-0215(19960503)66:3<294::aid-ijc3>3.0.co;2-u

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis

This study examines time trends in lung-cancer mortality rates among men in Lithuania during the period 1965-1994. Age-standardized mortality rates increased from 32.5 per 100,OOO in 1964-1969 to 62.9 per l00,OOO in 1990-1994. Regression analysis indicates that net drift (sum of cohort and period slopes) was positive. Cohort effect was dominant in the trend obsewed. Mortality in cohorts born before 1945 showed an increase. In younger generations, born after 1945, the risk declined in each subsequent cohort. Higher prevalence of cigarettes with filters and lower tar content of cigarettes may be of importance. This analysis suggests that mortality will rise until cohorts born around I950 reach middle age or old age. After that some stabilization can be expected if other conditions remain unchanged and previous trends continue.

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