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The validation of commercial system dynamics models

โœ Scribed by Geoff Coyle; David Exelby


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
2000
Tongue
English
Weight
530 KB
Volume
16
Category
Article
ISSN
0883-7066

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โœฆ Synopsis


This paper discusses the need for formal criteria for the establishment of confidence in, or the ''validation'' of, system dynamics models constructed for fee-paying clients as opposed to for academic research purposes. The meaning of ''validation'' is first considered and the substantial differences between the consultancy and academic cases are discussed. That leads to a review of the system dynamics literature on tests of validity. Finally, there is a discussion of the process of consultancy in system dynamics. An outline of a set of formal tests is described.


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