The use of weather forecasts to improve hay-making reliability
✍ Scribed by J.A. Dyer; W. Baier
- Publisher
- Elsevier Science
- Year
- 1981
- Weight
- 412 KB
- Volume
- 25
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0002-1571
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✦ Synopsis
Dyer, J. A. and Baler, W., 1981. The use of weather forecasts to improve hay-making reliability. Agric. Meteorol., 25: 27--34.
An index of weather forecast reliability was derived to assist farmers in making hay. The chances of field drying hay in four days or less were shown to be improved when the first one or more days after cutting were known to have no rain. The critical reliability levels which make two-, three-or four-day forecasts better criteria for scheduling hay cuts than one-day forecasts were demonstrated. This index could promote the optimum use of weather forecasts in scheduling hay cuts. However to apply the index, the actual reliability (chances of success) of forecasting sequences of rain-free days must be known.