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The stochastic duel with time-dependent hit probabilities

✍ Scribed by C. J. Ancker Jr.


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1984
Tongue
English
Weight
354 KB
Volume
31
Category
Article
ISSN
0894-069X

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✦ Synopsis


Abstract

The fundamental stochastic duel considers two opponents who fire at each other at either random continuous or fixed‐time intervals with a constant hit probability on each round fired. Each starts with an unloaded weapon, unlimited ammunition, and unlimited time. The first to hit wins. In this article we extend the theory to the case where hit probabilities are functions of the time since the duel began. First, the marksman firing at a passive target is considered and the characteristic function of the time to a hit is developed. Then, the probability of a given side winning the duel is derived. General solutions for a wide class of hit probability functions are derived. Specific examples of both the marksman and the duel problem are given.


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