## Abstract This article examines the market‐impact cost of trades executed in futures markets, which is commonly referred to as __slippage__. With the use of a unique data set provided by the Sydney Futures Exchange, this article documents that slippage costs incurred in executing packages of trad
The pricing of electricity futures: Evidence from the European energy exchange
✍ Scribed by Sascha Wilkens; Jens Wimschulte
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2007
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 170 KB
- Volume
- 27
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
✦ Synopsis
Abstract
This study investigates the pricing of electricity futures at the European Energy Exchange (EEX) over the period 2002 through 2004. To calculate theoretical contract values, the reduced‐form models of J. J. Lucia and E. S. Schwartz (2002) are used, and a thorough empirical analysis by means of an out‐of‐sample test is conducted for both one‐ and two‐factor models, incorporating a constant non‐zero price of risk. Although the models are proven to capture all basic spot market characteristics and provide an accurate in‐the‐sample fit to observed futures prices, the forecasting performance is subject to biases. For instance, it was found that the relative mispricing depends on both the spot price level and the remaining time‐to‐maturity of the futures contracts. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 27:387–410, 2007
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