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The Phillips curve as a long-run phenomenon in a macroeconomic model with complex dynamics

✍ Scribed by Luca Colombo; Gerd Weinrich


Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
2003
Tongue
English
Weight
704 KB
Volume
28
Category
Article
ISSN
0165-1889

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✦ Synopsis


In this paper we derive a Phillips curve as the image of a chaotic attractor of the state variables of a non-linear dynamical system describing the evolution of an economy. This has two important consequences: the Phillips curve in our model is a true long-run phenomenon, but to exploit the apparent unemployment-in ation trade-o may require unrealistically complex policy measures. The model is based on an overlapping-generations non-tâtonnement approach involving temporary equilibria with stochastic rationing in each period and price adjustment between successive periods. In this way we are able to obtain complex sequences of consistent allocations allowing for recurrent unemployment and in ation.