๐”– Bobbio Scriptorium
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The pattern of prediction: Forecasting: Facts and fallibilities

โœ Scribed by I.F. Clarke


Book ID
115936064
Publisher
Elsevier Science
Year
1971
Tongue
English
Weight
1005 KB
Volume
3
Category
Article
ISSN
0016-3287

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Predicting the signs of forecast errors
โœ Nazaria Solferino; Robert Waldmann ๐Ÿ“‚ Article ๐Ÿ“… 2009 ๐Ÿ› John Wiley and Sons ๐ŸŒ English โš– 71 KB

## Abstract The signs of forecast errors can be predicted using the difference between individuals' forecasts and the average of earlier forecasts of the same variable. It is possible to improve forecasts without worsening any. It is difficult to reconcile this result with the rational expectations