hether the cash or the futures market is the center of price discovery for W slaughter cattle has been debated since the inception of the live cattle futures contract in 1964. Using a theoretical model, Stein (1961) showed that futures and cash prices for a given commodity are determined simultaneou
The live cattle futures market and daily cash price movements
β Scribed by B. Wade Brorsen; Charles M. Oellermann; Paul L. Farris
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 1989
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 660 KB
- Volume
- 9
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
1' cash prices. The live cattle futures in particular have been criticized. Although some have argued that futures trading can lower the average level of cash prices (Wise, 1962;Bagnell, 1963), a more common belief is that futures markets tend to destabilize cash prices and thus increase the risk faced by producers. Most past research, however, is inconsistent with this belief.
Past studies have generally concluded that futures trading either reduces variability or has no significant effect. Only Figlewski found that price variability increased in the presence of a futures market. Figlewski was unable to offer a satisfactory explanation of his findings and his conclusions have been seriously questioned by subsequent work (Committee on Agriculture, p. 204). Past empirical research on the effects of futures markets on cash prices has generally used some measure of variance of weekly or monthly cash prices (e.g.
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