𝔖 Bobbio Scriptorium
✦   LIBER   ✦

The live cattle futures market and daily cash price movements

✍ Scribed by B. Wade Brorsen; Charles M. Oellermann; Paul L. Farris


Publisher
John Wiley and Sons
Year
1989
Tongue
English
Weight
660 KB
Volume
9
Category
Article
ISSN
0270-7314

No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.

✦ Synopsis


1' cash prices. The live cattle futures in particular have been criticized. Although some have argued that futures trading can lower the average level of cash prices (Wise, 1962;Bagnell, 1963), a more common belief is that futures markets tend to destabilize cash prices and thus increase the risk faced by producers. Most past research, however, is inconsistent with this belief.

Past studies have generally concluded that futures trading either reduces variability or has no significant effect. Only Figlewski found that price variability increased in the presence of a futures market. Figlewski was unable to offer a satisfactory explanation of his findings and his conclusions have been seriously questioned by subsequent work (Committee on Agriculture, p. 204). Past empirical research on the effects of futures markets on cash prices has generally used some measure of variance of weekly or monthly cash prices (e.g.


πŸ“œ SIMILAR VOLUMES


Futures or Cash: Which Market Leads Live
✍ Charles M. Oellermann; Paul L. Farris πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 1985 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 565 KB

hether the cash or the futures market is the center of price discovery for W slaughter cattle has been debated since the inception of the live cattle futures contract in 1964. Using a theoretical model, Stein (1961) showed that futures and cash prices for a given commodity are determined simultaneou

The forward pricing efficiency of the li
✍ G. D. Koppenhaver πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 1983 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 881 KB

A tution reflects all available information at any point in time such that only the arrival of new unanticipated information leads to a change in price. However, the notion of an efficient market is often confused with the hypothesis that forward prices represent unbiased estimates of future spot pr

Forecasting oil price movements: Exploit
✍ Andrea Coppola πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2007 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 843 KB

## Abstract Relying on the cost of carry model, the long‐run relationship between spot and futures prices is investigated and the information implied in these cointegrating relationships is used to forecast out of sample oil spot and futures price movements. To forecast oil price movements, a vecto

Rational expectations and market efficie
✍ Matthew P. Schaefer; Robert J. Myers; Stephen R. Koontz πŸ“‚ Article πŸ“… 2004 πŸ› John Wiley and Sons 🌐 English βš– 135 KB πŸ‘ 2 views

## Abstract The role of proprietary information in forecasting and market efficiency in the U.S. live cattle futures market is investigated. Using a unique proprietary data source collected by a private firm, we test whether the initial estimates in the USDA __Cattle on Feed Report__ and the Knight