If energy prices will trend higher, you invest one way; if energy prices will be lower, you invest a different way. But if you don't know what prices will do, often you do not invest at all."
The intraday distribution of volatility and the value of wildcard options
β Scribed by Dawson, Paul
- Publisher
- John Wiley and Sons
- Year
- 2000
- Tongue
- English
- Weight
- 180 KB
- Volume
- 20
- Category
- Article
- ISSN
- 0270-7314
No coin nor oath required. For personal study only.
β¦ Synopsis
This study investigates the value of the wildcard option embedded in the American FT-SE 100 index (SEI) options. Model-based studies of S&P 100 index options show the embedded wildcard option to have significant value. By contrast, nonparametric tests on SEI options indicate that the wildcard has very little value. The contrasting results arise because U.S. studies observe a high level of volatility during the 15-minute wildcard period, whereas the 21-minute wildcard period in London is relatively quiet. The present study highlights the sensitivity of the wildcard value to the intraday distribution of volatility and indicates the difficulty in estimating the wildcard period volatility, since it is itself volatile.
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